They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. Join. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. Commentators and politicos have given lots of hot takes on why Democrats did so poorly in Tuesday's election and what it portends for the 2022 midterms. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. Economics Professor at George Washington University, Tara Sinclair, joins to explain what is going on with the economy and the potential consequences of a spike in prices. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. The crew discusses how Russias invasion of Ukraine is affecting U.S. politics and the RAND Corportation's Samuel Charap joins to explain the root of Russia's aggression. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Atlantic writer Emma Green joins to talk about her recent article, "The Liberals Who Can't Quit Lockdown.". MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. Max Fisher, author of the new book, "The Chaos Machine: The Inside Story of How Social Media Rewired Our Minds and Our World," speaks with Galen about the impacts of social media on politics globally and in the U.S. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.". In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Finally, they analyze why Bidens approval rating has increased by nearly five points since late July. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - kerryandjessica.com FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides As the 2022 primaries begin in earnest and potential presidential candidates look ahead to 2024, the fight over the future of the political right is underway. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Plus, they debate the best way to ask Americans about their political identity. Jury Duty: Who Gets Called, And Who Actually Serves | WUNC Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. david senak now. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - lavamusic.is Galen Druke and Perry Bacon Jr. speak with political scientist and pastor, Ryan Burge, about how declining American religiosity is shaping our society and politics. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Galen speaks with him. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Podcast Transcription Generator- Transcribe Online | Type Studio Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. It's a busy week! President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. All. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts - masrurratib.com Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts [00:00:19] A message from Martine. This is the first episode. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. police- settlements. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. They also break down how candidate misconduct is generally factored into the FiveThirtyEight model. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. Google Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. You can't imitate a worldview. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". By May 21, 2021 0 . OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. send a tweet. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. All rights reserved. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Rev. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Happy holidays! Podcast-19 - FiveThirtyEight The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. What do we know about the novel coronavirus, and what do we know we don't know? You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). Texas has been in a dire situation this week. On the final day of COP26, we look at whether these types of international agreements actually shape countries climate policies and whether there are other factors that are more important. They also debate the usefulness of new polling on Americans superhero preferences by partisanship and preview the upcoming Jan. 6 hearings. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. MANAGER'S SALARY. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling."